tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Memphis via Chicago: arrives on time 51%

  1. 17:00 PHL → 18:33 ORD
    UA 308 · United · 2h 33m · 63% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 47m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:20 ORD → 23:21 MEM
    UA 2317 · United · 2h 01m · 60% on time, 6.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (Memphis is 1 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 122 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 47m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (6.1% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip7h 21mPHL 17:00 to MEM 23:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.