tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Des Moines → New York via Chicago: arrives on time 31%

  1. 15:24 DSM → 17:00 ORD
    UA 312 · United · 1h 35m · 73% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:00 ORD → 21:25 LGA
    UA 2458 · United · 2h 25m · 46% on time, 5.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Des Moines). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (5.3% are) and within 15 minutes (46%).
Total trip5h 01mDSM 15:24 to LGA 21:25, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.