tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Asheville → Chicago via Denver: arrives on time 35%

  1. 15:36 AVL → 17:11 DEN
    UA 314 · United · 3h 35m · 80% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:00 DEN → 21:39 ORD
    UA 1411 · United · 2h 39m · 50% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Asheville). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip7h 03mAVL 15:36 to ORD 21:39, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.