Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
San Francisco → New Orleans via Dulles: arrives on time 48%
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10:50 SFO → 19:11 IADUA 336 · United · 5h 21m · 78% on time, 0.5% cancelled
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51m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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20:02 IAD → 21:49 MSYUA 2042 · United · 2h 47m · 70% on time, 1.4% cancelled
Total trip 8h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 2 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip8h 59mSFO 10:50 to MSY 21:49, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.