tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Tulsa via Chicago: arrives on time 57%

  1. 09:53 BNA → 11:54 ORD
    UA 343 · United · 2h 01m · 80% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:51 ORD → 15:02 TUL
    UA 6028 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 11m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 33 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip5h 09mBNA 09:53 to TUL 15:02, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.