tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Reno → Minneapolis via Denver: arrives on time 75%

  1. 09:05 RNO → 12:21 DEN
    UA 347 · United · 2h 16m · 90% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 21m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:42 DEN → 18:46 MSP
    UA 2470 · United · 2h 04m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 2 h ahead of Reno). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 156 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 21m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip7h 41mRNO 09:05 to MSP 18:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.