Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Washington → Traverse City via Chicago: arrives on time 37%
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11:57 DCA → 13:15 ORDUA 374 · United · 2h 18m · 85% on time, 1.0% cancelled
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50m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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14:05 ORD → 16:31 TVCUA 5504 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 26m · 53% on time, 2.7% cancelled
Total trip 4h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip4h 34mDCA 11:57 to TVC 16:31, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.