tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Honolulu via Los Angeles: arrives on time 80%

  1. 14:30 ORD → 17:05 LAX
    UA 374 · United · 4h 35m · 80% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 40m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:45 LAX → 21:38 HNL
    UA 2390 · United · 5h 53m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 12h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival (Honolulu is 5 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 55 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 40m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip12h 08mORD 14:30 to HNL 21:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.