tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Phoenix via Houston: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:30 BNA → 08:42 IAH
    UA 396 · United · 2h 12m · 97% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:40 IAH → 10:34 PHX
    UA 1895 · United · 2h 54m · 85% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip6h 04mBNA 06:30 to PHX 10:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.