tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Springfield via Atlanta: arrives on time 70%

  1. 07:12 ORD → 10:27 ATL
    UA 425 · United · 2h 15m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 22m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:49 ATL → 14:45 SGF
    DL 4854 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 56m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 112 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 22m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip7h 33mORD 07:12 to SGF 14:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.