Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Detroit → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Chicago: arrives on time 52%
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11:00 DTW → 11:29 ORDUA 426 · United · 1h 29m · 70% on time, 1.4% cancelled
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1h 00m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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12:29 ORD → 14:21 XNAUA 4431 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 52m · 76% on time, 1.4% cancelled
Total trip 4h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fayetteville/Springdale/ is 1 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip4h 21mDTW 11:00 to XNA 14:21, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.