tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Albuquerque via Denver: arrives on time 50%

  1. 18:29 AUS → 20:00 DEN
    UA 439 · United · 2h 31m · 68% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:10 DEN → 22:43 ABQ
    UA 4761 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 33m · 68% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Albuquerque is 1 h behind Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip5h 14mAUS 18:29 to ABQ 22:43, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.