tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Philadelphia via Denver: arrives on time 81%

  1. 18:29 AUS → 20:00 DEN
    UA 439 · United · 2h 31m · 68% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 59m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:59 DEN → 05:31 PHL +1 day
    UA 1214 · United · 3h 32m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 1 h ahead of Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 194 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 59m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip10h 02mAUS 18:29 to PHL 05:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.