tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → Phoenix via Chicago: arrives on time 92%

  1. 20:00 ANC → 05:18 ORD
    UA 450 · United · 6h 18m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 44m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:02 ORD → 11:03 PHX +1 day
    UA 2225 · United · 4h 01m · 95% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 14h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 1 h ahead of Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 179 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 44m layover.
Arrives on time92%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip14h 03mANC 20:00 to PHX 11:03, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.