tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Indianapolis via Chicago: arrives on time 64%

  1. 06:00 BNA → 07:58 ORD
    UA 451 · United · 1h 58m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 32m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:30 ORD → 11:40 IND
    AA 2898 · American · 1h 10m · 90% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Indianapolis is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 32m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip4h 40mBNA 06:00 to IND 11:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.