tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Los Angeles via Phoenix: arrives on time 95%

  1. 13:30 ORD → 15:19 PHX
    UA 455 · United · 3h 49m · 86% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 35m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:54 PHX → 20:31 LAX
    UA 4722 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 37m · 97% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 170 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 35m layover.
Arrives on time95%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (97%).
Total trip9h 01mORD 13:30 to LAX 20:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.