Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Austin → St Louis via Chicago: arrives on time 37%
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13:01 AUS → 15:57 ORDUA 456 · United · 2h 56m · 72% on time, 0.7% cancelled
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48m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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16:45 ORD → 18:13 STLUA 4518 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 28m · 67% on time, 3.5% cancelled
Total trip 5h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (3.5% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip5h 12mAUS 13:01 to STL 18:13, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.