Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Indianapolis via Chicago: arrives on time 42%

  1. 13:01 AUS → 15:57 ORD
    UA 456 · United · 2h 56m · 72% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:44 ORD → 19:01 IND
    UA 3418 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 17m · 80% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Indianapolis is 1 h ahead of Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip5h 00mAUS 13:01 to IND 19:01, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.