tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Columbus → Charlotte via Chicago: arrives on time 53%

  1. 09:00 CMH → 09:36 ORD
    UA 466 · United · 1h 36m · 81% on time, 6.1% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:26 ORD → 13:50 CLT
    UA 3450 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 24m · 89% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (6.1% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip4h 50mCMH 09:00 to CLT 13:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.