tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Sioux Falls via Denver: arrives on time 55%

  1. 18:23 MSP → 19:45 DEN
    UA 467 · United · 2h 22m · 57% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 25m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:10 DEN → 23:53 FSD
    UA 5700 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 43m · 79% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 40 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 25m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip5h 30mMSP 18:23 to FSD 23:53, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.