tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Phoenix via Houston: arrives on time 80%

  1. 07:00 MCO → 08:35 IAH
    UA 468 · United · 2h 35m · 95% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:40 IAH → 10:34 PHX
    UA 1895 · United · 2h 54m · 85% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip6h 34mMCO 07:00 to PHX 10:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.