tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Dulles via Cleveland: arrives on time 76%

  1. 11:35 MCO → 14:06 CLE
    UA 486 · United · 2h 31m · 92% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Cleveland (CLE) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:02 CLE → 16:20 IAD
    UA 780 · United · 1h 18m · 84% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip4h 45mMCO 11:35 to IAD 16:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.