tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Las Vegas via San Francisco: arrives on time 79%

  1. 05:22 IAH → 07:22 SFO
    UA 487 · United · 4h 00m · 97% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 20m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:42 SFO → 12:28 LAS
    UA 611 · United · 1h 46m · 80% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 9h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 155 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 20m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip9h 06mIAH 05:22 to LAS 12:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.