tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Burbank → Nashville via San Francisco: arrives on time 54%

  1. 07:02 BUR → 08:30 SFO
    UA 488 · United · 1h 28m · 80% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:17 SFO → 15:53 BNA
    UA 499 · United · 4h 36m · 84% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 2 h ahead of Burbank). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip6h 51mBUR 07:02 to BNA 15:53, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.