tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Dulles via Denver: arrives on time 70%

  1. 08:45 SNA → 12:09 DEN
    UA 489 · United · 2h 24m · 92% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 31m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:40 DEN → 21:11 IAD
    UA 421 · United · 3h 31m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 3 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 166 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 31m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip9h 26mSNA 08:45 to IAD 21:11, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.