tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Phoenix via Houston: arrives on time 77%

  1. 06:00 EWR → 08:41 IAH
    UA 492 · United · 3h 41m · 92% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:40 IAH → 10:34 PHX
    UA 1895 · United · 2h 54m · 85% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 34mEWR 06:00 to PHX 10:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.