tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fairbanks → Chicago via Denver: arrives on time 81%

  1. 01:00 FAI → 08:09 DEN
    UA 494 · United · 5h 09m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 06m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:15 DEN → 14:55 ORD
    UA 2865 · United · 2h 40m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 3 h ahead of Fairbanks). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 141 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 06m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip10h 55mFAI 01:00 to ORD 14:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.