tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fairbanks → Minneapolis via Denver: arrives on time 85%

  1. 01:00 FAI → 08:09 DEN
    UA 494 · United · 5h 09m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 31m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:40 DEN → 12:40 MSP
    UA 397 · United · 2h 00m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 3 h ahead of Fairbanks). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 46 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 31m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip8h 40mFAI 01:00 to MSP 12:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.