tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Austin via Denver: arrives on time 64%

  1. 15:25 MEM → 17:09 DEN
    UA 498 · United · 2h 44m · 72% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 30m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:39 DEN → 21:57 AUS
    UA 1942 · United · 2h 18m · 75% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 30m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip6h 32mMEM 15:25 to AUS 21:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.