tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Everett via Phoenix: arrives on time 82%

  1. 10:05 SFO → 12:14 PHX
    UA 500 · United · 2h 09m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 09m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:23 PHX → 17:23 PAE
    AS 674 · Alaska · 3h 00m · 100% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 21 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 39 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 09m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (100%).
Total trip7h 18mSFO 10:05 to PAE 17:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.