tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Los Angeles via San Francisco: arrives on time 31%

  1. 18:59 BWI → 21:50 SFO
    UA 504 · United · 5h 51m · 56% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:37 SFO → 00:19 LAX +1 day
    UA 2179 · United · 1h 42m · 72% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection44%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 56% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (44%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip8h 20mBWI 18:59 to LAX 00:19, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.