tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Aspen via Chicago: arrives on time 53%

  1. 15:30 ATL → 16:57 ORD
    UA 516 · United · 2h 27m · 74% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 50m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:47 ORD → 22:00 ASE
    UA 5254 · United, flown by SkyWest · 3h 13m · 62% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Aspen is 2 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 125 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 50m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip8h 30mATL 15:30 to ASE 22:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.