tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Raleigh/Durham via Dulles: arrives on time 75%

  1. 07:30 AUS → 11:48 IAD
    UA 525 · United · 3h 18m · 95% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:50 IAD → 14:08 RDU
    UA 4055 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 18m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 1 h ahead of Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip5h 38mAUS 07:30 to RDU 14:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.