tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Springfield via Denver: arrives on time 85%

  1. 08:40 ORD → 10:31 DEN
    UA 526 · United · 2h 51m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 49m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:20 DEN → 16:20 SGF
    UA 4693 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 00m · 85% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 124 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 49m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 40mORD 08:40 to SGF 16:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.