tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Rapid City via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 79%

  1. 08:45 ORD → 11:29 DFW
    UA 528 · United · 2h 44m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 29m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:58 DFW → 16:20 RAP
    AA 3762 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 22m · 81% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Rapid City is 1 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 119 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 29m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip8h 35mORD 08:45 to RAP 16:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.