tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Tampa via Raleigh/Durham: arrives on time 80%

  1. 08:21 IAD → 09:34 RDU
    UA 529 · United · 1h 13m · 69% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 46m layover in Raleigh/Durham (RDU) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:20 RDU → 15:15 TPA
    WN 4442 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 136 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 46m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip6h 54mIAD 08:21 to TPA 15:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.