tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Anchorage via Chicago: arrives on time 84%

  1. 06:00 EWR → 07:42 ORD
    UA 530 · United · 2h 42m · 92% on time, 4.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 18m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:00 ORD → 13:42 ANC
    AS 1546 · Alaska · 6h 42m · 95% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 11h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Anchorage is 4 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 20 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 48 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 18m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (4.5% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip11h 42mEWR 06:00 to ANC 13:42, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.