tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Buffalo via Chicago: arrives on time 67%

  1. 06:00 EWR → 07:42 ORD
    UA 530 · United · 2h 42m · 92% on time, 4.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 43m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:25 ORD → 13:13 BUF
    UA 4382 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 48m · 73% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 118 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 43m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (4.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip7h 13mEWR 06:00 to BUF 13:13, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.