tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → St Louis via Chicago: arrives on time 66%

  1. 06:00 EWR → 07:42 ORD
    UA 530 · United · 2h 42m · 92% on time, 4.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 18m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:00 ORD → 10:34 STL
    UA 4613 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 34m · 75% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (St Louis is 1 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 33 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 18m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (4.5% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip5h 34mEWR 06:00 to STL 10:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.