tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Nashville via Chicago: arrives on time 79%

  1. 06:00 EWR → 07:42 ORD
    UA 530 · United · 2h 42m · 92% on time, 4.5% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:40 ORD → 10:34 BNA
    UA 5304 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 54m · 94% on time, 3.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (4.5% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (3.1% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip5h 34mEWR 06:00 to BNA 10:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.