tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Baltimore via Chicago: arrives on time 78%

  1. 06:00 EWR → 07:42 ORD
    UA 530 · United · 2h 42m · 92% on time, 4.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 09m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:51 ORD → 13:57 BWI
    UA 2653 · United · 2h 06m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 144 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 09m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (4.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip7h 57mEWR 06:00 to BWI 13:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.