tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Las Vegas via Chicago: arrives on time 78%

  1. 06:00 EWR → 07:42 ORD
    UA 530 · United · 2h 42m · 92% on time, 4.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 18m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:00 ORD → 11:08 LAS
    UA 723 · United · 4h 08m · 89% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 8h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 33 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 18m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (4.5% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip8h 08mEWR 06:00 to LAS 11:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.