tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Cleveland via Chicago: arrives on time 86%

  1. 06:00 EWR → 07:42 ORD
    UA 530 · United · 2h 42m · 92% on time, 4.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 23m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:05 ORD → 11:41 CLE
    UA 3422 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 36m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 38 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 23m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (4.5% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip5h 41mEWR 06:00 to CLE 11:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.