tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Hilton Head Island via Chicago: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:00 EWR → 07:42 ORD
    UA 530 · United · 2h 42m · 92% on time, 4.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 03m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:45 ORD → 14:21 HHH
    UA 3581 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 36m · 80% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 138 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 03m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (4.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip8h 21mEWR 06:00 to HHH 14:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.