tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Hebron via Chicago: arrives on time 85%

  1. 06:00 EWR → 07:42 ORD
    UA 530 · United · 2h 42m · 92% on time, 4.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 48m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:30 ORD → 13:01 CVG
    AA 4412 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 31m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 78 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 48m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (4.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip7h 01mEWR 06:00 to CVG 13:01, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.