tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Richmond via Atlanta: arrives on time 80%

  1. 09:07 ORD → 12:22 ATL
    UA 530 · United · 2h 15m · 82% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 23m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 15:45 ATL → 17:26 RIC
    DL 3152 · Delta · 1h 41m · 83% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Richmond is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 113 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 23m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip7h 19mORD 09:07 to RIC 17:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.