tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → El Paso via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 84%

  1. 07:15 ORD → 09:58 DFW
    UA 539 · United · 2h 43m · 82% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 22m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:20 DFW → 13:08 ELP
    AA 3506 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 48m · 92% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (El Paso is 1 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 52 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 22m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip6h 53mORD 07:15 to ELP 13:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.