tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Springfield via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 81%

  1. 07:15 ORD → 09:58 DFW
    UA 539 · United · 2h 43m · 82% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 4h 00m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:58 DFW → 15:26 SGF
    AA 3795 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 27m · 86% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 8h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 150 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 4h 00m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip8h 10mORD 07:15 to SGF 15:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.