tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Cleveland → St Louis via Newark: arrives on time 32%

  1. 19:08 CLE → 20:45 EWR
    UA 554 · United · 1h 37m · 56% on time, 11.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 32m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:17 EWR → 23:44 STL
    UA 1527 · United · 2h 27m · 57% on time, 8.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival (St Louis is 1 h behind Cleveland). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 47 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 32m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (11.1% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (8.5% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip5h 36mCLE 19:08 to STL 23:44, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.