tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Memphis via Newark: arrives on time 80%

  1. 07:10 ORD → 10:30 EWR
    UA 563 · United · 2h 20m · 91% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 00m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:30 EWR → 15:26 MEM
    UA 3650 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 56m · 83% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 135 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 00m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip8h 16mORD 07:10 to MEM 15:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.